Europe’s Changing Neighbourhood

16/11/2015 @ All Day –

Conflict Prevention and Crisis Management in the 21st Century

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Europe's Changing Neighbourhood



NOV 16, 2015

09:00 – 10:15 Session One – State of the World: Rise of Black Swans and the Pursuit of Peace
This opening discussion will look at the changing nature of conflict – including its increasing complexity, the emergence of violent extremism, and proliferating transnational qualities – amid a declining Western appetite for engagement and heightened regional activism. Are the eruptions of conflicts and crises becoming more difficult to predict? What inhibits the ability to anticipate and head off crises? How can these obstacles be more effectively overcome?
Chair: Michael Keating, Associate Director, Research Partnerships, Chatham House
Jean-Marie Guéhenno, President & CEO, International Crisis Group
Emma Bonino, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Italy (2013–14)
Lord Mark Malloch-Brown, Minister of State for Africa, Asia and the United Nations (2007–09)
Wadah Khanfar, President, Al Sharq Forum
Julian Borger, Diplomatic Editor, the Guardian
10:15 – 11:30 Session Two – The Nature of Current Crises and Threats
This discussion will explore the origin and nature of immediate crises in Europe’s neighbourhood, in North Africa, the Middle East, and its eastern borders, and how they are influencing European foreign and regional policies and prevention strategies.
Chair: James Mates, Europe Editor, ITV News
Nader Mousavizadeh, Partner and Co-founder, Macro Advisory Partners
Karen E Smith, Professor of International Relations and Director, European Foreign Policy Unit, London School of Economics
Dr. Helima Croft, Managing Director and Chief Commodities Strategist, RBC Capital Markets
Professor John Shattuck, President and Rector, Central European University
Basheer Nafi, Senior Fellow, Al Jazeera Center for Studies
11:30 – 12:00 Refreshments
Pre-Lunch Concurrent Breakout Discussions
12:00 – 13:30 Discussion A – External Perceptions and Europe’s Continued Relevance
This discussion will focus on how Europe is perceived in its neighbourhood, a vital aspect in shaping a more effective European crisis management posture. Is Europe seen as a force for good or an increasingly fragile concept? How effective is the reach of Europe’s soft power? How can it engage more effectively with its peripheries?
Chair: Professor John Shattuck, President and Rector, Central European University
Vladimir Milov, Founding Leader and Chairman, Democratic Choice, and President, Institute of Energy Policy, Russia
Tina Fordham, Managing Director and Chief Global Political Analyst, Citi
Professor Dr Richard G Whitman, Associate Fellow, Europe Programme, Chatham House
Jamal Khashoggi, General Manager and Editor-in-Chief, Al-Arab News Channel
12:00 – 13:30 Discussion B – The Sahel – a Sandstorm Coming?
This discussion will assess the political, security and economic challenges of Sahelian Africa on the cusp of a population explosion. It will also focus on the potential implications for Europe, particularly in relation to the current migration crisis, and how best these challenges can be addressed.
Chair: Dr Giovanni Grevi, Director, FRIDE
Dr Comfort Ero, Programme Director, Africa, International Crisis Group
Dr Ghazi Salahuddin Atabani, Chairman, Reform Now Movement, Sudan
Dr Georg Klute, Professor Anthropology of Africa, University of Bayreuth
Dr Lotte Pelckmans, Researcher International Security, Danish Institute for International Studies
13:30 – 14:30 Lunch
Post Lunch Concurrent Breakout Discussions
14:30 – 16:00 Discussion C – Ukraine, Russia and the Future of European Security
This discussion will focus on the potential for international confrontation and violent conflict arising out of the ongoing tensions from Russia’s military and political involvement in Ukraine. What are the risks for the stability of other neighbouring countries and what new strategies will be needed to deal with this? Are large alliances like the EU and NATO capable of leading the response?
Chair: James Nixey, Head, Russia and Eurasia Programme, Chatham House
Paul Quinn-Judge, Senior Adviser on Ukraine and Russia, International Crisis Group
Oleksiy Melnyk, Co-director, Foreign Relations and International Security Programmes, Razumkov Centre
Dr Nadia Arbatova, Head of European Political Studies Department, Institute of World Economy and International Relations
Stephen Covington, International Affairs Adviser to the Supreme Allied Commander Europe, NATO
14:30 – 16:00 Discussion D – North Africa
This discussion will assess Europe’s response to the challenges confronting North Africa, from helping to preserve stability in Tunisia, to the increasing quagmire in Libya, and the authoritarian drift in Egypt and confronting growing violence in the Sinai. How effective is Europe in helping to mitigate immediate security risks, as well as addressing the deep-seated drivers for instability? Do current approaches require a rethink?
Chair: Lindsey Hilsum, International Editor, Channel 4 News
Roula Khalaf, Foreign Editor, Financial Times
Issandr El Amrani, Project Director, North Africa, International Crisis Group
Dr Claire Spencer, Senior Research Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme, Chatham House
Fahmy Howeidy, Author and Journalist, El-Shorouk, Egypt
16:00 – 16:30 Afternoon refreshments
16:30 – 18:00 Session Three | European Security Policy: An Impossibility or Potential Reality?
This discussion will assess European approaches to security and defence and the potential for European neighbours to adopt a more co-ordinated strategic response to extant and emergent security threats.
Chair: Dr Robin Niblett, Director, Chatham House
Sir Robert Cooper, Visiting Professor, LSE Ideas, London School of Economics
Professor Michael Clarke, Director General, RUSI Mary Kaldor, Professor of Global Governance, London School of Economics
Galip Dalay, Research Director, Al Sharq Forum
18:00 Close of conference and drinks reception
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